The same old GOP: Presidential candidates still must appease the right
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Since November, Republican Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal has successfully positioned himself as a reformist outsider, despite his clear commitment to the same right-wing policies championed by all sides of the GOP divide, from Tea Party Republicans such as Texas Sen. Ted Cruz to establishment-minded lawmakers such as Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan.
The past year of Mr. Jindal's tenure, in fact, has been defined by steady progress on a wish list of conservative policies. Louisiana has expanded its school voucher system, rejected the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid expansion, passed onerous new anti-abortion laws and is poised to accept a massive overhaul of its tax code, replacing income and corporate taxes with a large new sales tax.
This last policy, in particular, will place a huge burden on ordinary Louisianans. To maintain current revenues under the new tax plan, notes the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center, Louisiana would have to double the amount of money it gets from the sales tax: "For households that don't pay income taxes and save little or no income, this amounts to close to a 4-percentage-point drop in after-tax income."
Politico's Emily Schulthesis wrote this week that this is clear evidence of Mr. Jindal positioning himself for a presidential run in 2016, despite his protests to the contrary: "Jindal's bold policy proposals in Louisiana come at the same time he's raising his profile nationally, both through his new post as head of the Republican Governors Association and his frequent commentary on the future of the Republican Party," Ms. Schulthesis wrote.
"You can't say Jindal is extremely popular in Louisiana any longer, but you also have to give him credit because some of the stuff he's done is very popular with [Republican] voters," Louisiana pollster Bernie Pinsonat told her.
From the moment Mitt Romney won the Republican presidential nomination and entered the general election he was at a disadvantage. Why? Because winning the nomination required him to adopt the full suite of right-wing policies, from Mr. Ryan's budget proposals to aggressive attacks on reproductive rights and immigration reform.
Mr. Jindal's maneuvering makes clear that -- immigration aside -- little has changed about the Republican landscape. Anyone who wants to win the 2016 presidential nomination will have to appeal to the same right-wing base that -- at various points -- elevated Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum.
In other words, Republican reform will remain cosmetic. The GOP will have impressive diversity on the candidate level, and the same commitment to right-wing policies that has defined the party for the last four years.
First Published February 20, 2013 12:00 am