Bill Peduto put some distance between himself and his chief rival, Jack Wagner, in the latest numbers from Keystone Analytics, the Harrisburg firm doing the only outside polling in the Pittsburgh mayor's race.
The city councilman led Mr. Wagner, 39 percent to 32 percent, in the survey of 404 Democrats deemed likely to vote in the May 21 primary. State Rep. Jake Wheatley, D-Hill District, had 8 percent and A.J. Richardson, the Sheraden community activist, had 1 percent. Another 20 percent were either undecided or refused to answer.
Mr. Peduto had a smaller lead in the firm's last survey in late April. His two-point advantage then was within the survey's 4.9 percent margin of error.
In a release accompanying the new poll, the Harrisburg consultants noted that the negative advertising in the race had clearly had an effect, bruising the favorability ratings of both of the leading candidates. Fifty-one percent of the voters said they held a favorable view of the councilman, and 49 percent were favorable toward Mr. Wagner. In the firm's last survey, those positive numbers had been 65 percent and 64 percent, respectively.
The sample was 57 percent female and 43 percent male. And like the typical Pittsburgh primary voter, it skewed to the older end of the population. Seven percent of the respondents were between 18 and 34; 17 percent between 35 and 49; 37 percent between 50 and 64; and 39 percent 65 or older.
The phone calls were conducted on May 8.
Politics editor James O'Toole: email@example.com or 412-263-1562. First Published May 13, 2013 12:45 AM