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Democrats uncertain how to cash in on GOP's woes
Sunday, June 04, 2006

WASHINGTON -- Are the Democrats ready for their close-up?

With President Bush and the Republican-controlled Congress facing bleak approval ratings, many Democrats are increasingly confident the public is ready to hear the party's alternative policy ideas as the 2006 campaign heats up.

The question is whether the Democrats have an alternative ready to present.

Party leaders have provided some specifics about how they would deal with national security, energy issues and ethics reform if they recapture one or both chambers of Congress in November. But on many topics, they have provided only broad hints about their direction.

This cautious strategy is generating intensifying debate within the party.

On one side are those who believe the Democrats must present a sharp alternative to Bush's direction -- as Republicans did with their "Contract With America" before sweeping into control of Congress in 1994.

"It is a time to move toward offense and toward talking about the big things that we stand for," said Eli Pariser, executive director of the political action committee associated with liberal MoveOn.org.

On the other side are strategists who fear that offering too many specifics could allow Republicans to shift focus away from public discontent with how they have governed. Those sentiments appear especially strong among Senate Democrats.

"If you start to [discuss] big government programs, ... you open yourself up to criticism in all directions, and there's no reason for Democrats to do that now," said one senior Democratic Senate aide, who asked not to be identified when discussing internal party deliberations.

But attempts to minimize the target for Republicans could leave Democrats vulnerable in a different respect. A continued reluctance to detail an agenda, some party strategists say, could allow the Republicans room to define for voters what the priorities of the Democrats are.

Indeed, the Republican National Committee has released 18 news releases charging that "the Real Democratic Agenda" amounts to large tax increases, a policy of "cut and run" in Iraq and the impeachment of President Bush.

Each side in the internal Democratic argument can point to polls supporting its position.

Those who prefer less detail note that as confidence in the Republican Congress has declined, almost all surveys show Democrats leading the GOP when the public is asked which party it trusts to handle the nation's major problems.

These Democrats believe that developing comprehensive proposals would only ease Republican efforts to shift the election's focus from a retrospective verdict on Bush's last two years to a prospective judgment about what Democrats might do with power -- shifting the campaign's focus from a referendum to a choice, as GOP leaders put it.

Those Democrats who favor a more specific agenda note that many surveys, like an ABC/Washington Post poll this month, show most Americans do not believe the party is offering a clear alternative.

"If you look at the polling data, it's clear that people lack a sense of what the Democrats stand for," says Ruy Teixeira, a public opinion analyst at the Center for American Progress, a liberal think tank.

Late last year, Democratic House and Senate members, along with several governors and the Democratic National Committee, listed six broad goals for the party -- including ethics reform, strengthening national security, encouraging independence from foreign oil and expanding access to healthcare.

But that statement did not explain how Democrats might pursue those ends, most of which receive at least rhetorical support from both parties.

House and Senate Democrats offered more detail on ethics when they released a lobbying reform proposal in January. In March, at a campaign-style event, congressional Democrats issued a national security agenda that laid out sweeping goals -- such as shifting more responsibility to Iraqi security forces -- but provided few details of how the party would promote them.

Senate Democrats, acting without House Democrats, called this month for reducing U.S. oil imports by 40 percent through 2020. That proposal revolved around a requirement for automobile manufacturers to produce more cars capable of running on biofuels such as ethanol.

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., recently identified five initiatives she said the party would pass within the first week if it won control of the House.

Those include raising the minimum wage, rescinding tax breaks for oil companies included in the 2005 energy legislation, revising the Medicare prescription drug bill to allow the government to negotiate directly with pharmaceutical companies for lower prices, cutting student loan rates and passing the remaining recommendations for improving national security by the independent commission that investigated the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.

Perhaps just as important, Ms. Pelosi told other Democratic House members at a closed meeting this month that the party would not pursue impeachment proceedings against Mr. Bush.

Democrats are still debating how many more proposals to unveil before November. House and Senate leaders have scheduled another joint statement for June, but it appears less likely to advance sweeping plans than to endorse a list of short-term priorities like the one Ms. Pelosi already unveiled.

The agenda-setting efforts have drawn a mixed response from party activists and operatives.

The campaign manager for one Democratic Senate candidate said he supported the decision to offer a relatively modest national agenda.

"I don't think there necessarily needs to be a 'Democratic' message," said the campaign manager, who asked not to be identified when discussing political strategy. "The message is pretty easy. The Republicans control everything, and the question to voters is: 'How is that working out for you?' "

But others, from the party's liberal and centrist wings, see potential dangers if Democrats don't provide more clarity on more issues.

Will Marshall, president of the centrist Progressive Policy Institute, said he worried that "if we don't present voters with a coherent definition of the party's core commitments, they tend to default to negative stereotypes."

David Sirota, a former congressional aide turned liberal commentator, said he feared that failing to synthesize a consensus agenda could haunt Democrats if they regained a narrow majority in the House or Senate.

ANALYSIS

First published on June 4, 2006 at 12:00 am
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