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Wall Street: Stocks mixed on job data, rising oil prices
Friday, September 10, 2004

NEW YORK -- Stocks were mixed Thursday as investor enthusiasm over a sharp drop in initial unemployment claims was offset by rising oil prices and a disappointing wholesale inventories report. Technology shares benefited from a pair of outlook upgrades and strong earnings from National Semiconductor Corp.

  
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Investors grew more cautious through the session as oil prices climbed, topping the $44 per barrel mark after weeks of declines. A barrel of light crude rose $1.84 to settle at $44.61 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Wall Street was also disappointed by the Commerce Department's report on wholesale inventories, which rose 1.3 percent in July, double what economists had expected. Wholesale sales rose by only 0.5 percent -- which means that business and consumer spending has trailed off and more products are sitting in warehouses.

"We're starting to see some real evidence of softness in consumer spending," said Russ Koesterich, U.S. equity strategist for State Street Corp. in Boston. "I don't think the economy is falling off a cliff. It's chugging along at a moderate pace, but will it be enough to keep corporate profits where they need to be? That's the question."

Improvements in the nation's job picture could help spur consumers. The Labor Department reported 319,000 new unemployment claims for the past week, down 44,000 from a week ago. It was the largest drop in first-time claims since December 2001.

The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 24.26, or 0.2 percent, at 10,289.10.

Broader stock indicators were markedly higher. The tech-focused Nasdaq composite index was up 19.01, or 1 percent, at 1,869.65, while the Standard & Poor's 500 index gained 2.11, or 0.2 percent, to 1,118.38.

The economic data will likely weigh heavily on the Federal Reserve as it prepares to meet Sept. 21 to discuss another hike in the nation's benchmark interest rate, which currently stands at 1.5 percent. The improved jobs picture increases the chances that the Fed will raise rates by a quarter percentage point, even though raising rates in the midst of an election can sometimes weigh on the presidential incumbent.

While Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan was optimistic about the economy's strength in his congressional testimony Wednesday, Wall Street took a more cautious view, waiting to see how the summer's economic slowdown will affect third- and fourth-quarter earnings.

"The takeaway we're getting from the Fed is that the economy's growing, but it's uneven," said Hans Olsen, managing director and chief investment officer at Bingham Legg Advisers. "Add to that the lack of direction in the market, and the next catalyst for the market won't be the Fed meeting or interest rates. It'll be company earnings, and whether there's been enough top-line movement to have an impact on the bottom line."

Tech stocks, battered this summer after a series of disappointing earnings reports, were buoyed by a rare spate of good news. Nokia Corp. jumped $1.06 to $13.77 after the Finnish maker of cellular phones raised its sales and profit outlooks for the current quarter. The company cited stronger demand for multi-function mobile devices.

Shares of Texas Instruments Inc. surged 10 percent on news it expected third-quarter earnings to come in above the middle of its previous estimate range. Investors shrugged off the chip maker's warning that sales could fall below its past outlook due to low demand.

During the session, National Semiconductor Corp. reported a 29 percent jump in sales, beating Wall Street estimates by 5 cents per share, but added that profits for the current quarter would likely fall 8 to 10 percent in comparison. Still, its stock closed 52 cents, or 4.4 percent, higher at $12.52.

Supermarket chain Pathmark Stores Inc. tumbled $1.32, or 18 percent, to $5.85 after it said it lost five cents per share in the second quarter and would likely default on some of the terms of its credit agreement in the current quarter. The company also reduced its full-year earnings guidance.

Investors also sold shares of Procter & Gamble Co., despite the consumer products maker's confirmation that its earnings would meet analysts' target and profits would grow at least 10 percent for the current quarter. P&G shares slipped 64 cents to $56.09.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by more than 3 to 2 on the New York Stock Exchange, where preliminary consolidated volume came to 1.72 billion shares, compared to 1.54 billion on Wednesday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies finished up 8.39, or 1.5 percent, at 566.18.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average dropped 1 percent. In Europe, Britain's FTSE 100 closed down 0.5 percent, France's CAC-40 lost 0.7 percent for the session and Germany's DAX index fell 0.9 percent.

Officials at the Nasdaq Stock Market and the American Stock Exchange will halt to trading from 11 a.m. to 11:01 a.m. on Friday to observe a minute of silence in memory of the victims of the Sept. 11 attacks. The Nasdaq will also place commemorative displays on its Marketsite building in Times Square on Friday and Saturday.


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First published on September 10, 2004 at 12:00 am