The big issue in this fall’s elections could be a sleeper: What kind of Republican Party does the country want?
It is a strange question to put to an electorate in which independents and Democrats constitute a majority. Yet there is no getting around this: The single biggest change in Washington over the last five years has been a GOP shift to a more radical conservatism. This, in turn, has led to a kind of rejectionism that views cooperation with President Barack Obama as inherently unprincipled.
Solving the country’s problems requires, above all, turning the Republican Party back into a political enterprise willing to share the burdens of governing, even when a Democrat is in the White House.
For those looking for a more constructive Republicanism, this is not a great year to stage the battle. Because of gerrymandering, knocking current Republicans out of control of the House is a herculean task. And most of the competitive seats for the Senate are held by Democrats in Republican states. The GOP needs to win six currently Democratic seats to take over, and it appears to have nailed down two or three — in South Dakota, West Virginia and maybe in Montana.
Nonetheless, there is as yet no sense of the sort of tide that in 2010 gave a Republicanism inflected with Tea Party sensibilities dominance in the House. The core narrative of the campaign has yet to be established. Democrats seeking re-election are holding their own in Senate races in which they are seen as vulnerable.
And then there was last week’s House fiasco over resolving the refugee crisis at our border. It served as a reminder that Republican leaders are handcuffing themselves by appeasing their most right-wing members rather than collaborating with Democrats.
The bill that House Speaker John Boehner was trying to pass last Thursday already tilted very rightward. It provided Mr. Obama with only a fraction of what he said was needed to deal with the crisis — $659 million, compared with his request for $3.7 billion. It also included provisions to put deportations on such a fast track that Mr. Obama threatened to veto it. The White House said its “arbitrary timelines” were both impractical and inhumane.
House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi was meeting with some journalists when the bill collapsed. “For them to pass a bill, they had to make it worse and worse and worse,” she said, referring to Mr. Boehner’s efforts to placate members who have entered into an unusual cross-chamber alliance with Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, to foil even conservative legislation considered insufficiently pure. When the bill was withdrawn, Ms. Pelosi observed: “They couldn’t make it bad enough.”
On Friday, the GOP leadership pushed the measure still further right and added $35 million for border states to get it passed at an unusual evening session — but not before Republicans themselves had complained loudly about dysfunction in their own ranks.
In the meantime, the Senate was paralyzed on the issue by filibusters and other procedural hurdles that have rendered majority rule an antique notion in what once proudly proclaimed itself “the world’s greatest deliberative body.”
Last week’s legislative commotion could change the political winds by putting the costs of the GOP’s flight from moderation into stark relief. House Republicans found themselves in the odd position of simultaneously suing Mr. Obama for executive overreach and then insisting that he could act unilaterally to solve the border crisis.
Ms. Pelosi praised “the Grand Old Party that did so much and has done so much for our country,” but her point was to underscore that Republicans had been “hijacked” by a “radical right wing” that is not simply “anti-government” but also “anti-governance.”
On balance, Washington gridlock has hurt Democrats more than Republicans by dispiriting moderates and progressives who had hoped Mr. Obama could usher in an era of reform. The key to the election will be whether Democrats can persuade these voters that the radical right is the real culprit in their disappointment — and get them to act accordingly on Election Day.
E.J. Dionne Jr. is a syndicated columnist for The Washington Post (firstname.lastname@example.org).